Price forecast with min, average and max ranges - Updated in real-time
Instead of a fragile single price target, we report the probability that UMA stays inside a range. Backed by log-normal volatility over the recent 7-day series.
🎯 74% probability that UMA stays between $0.3292 and $0.3314 in the next 24 hours
Refreshed every 15 min · cryptooraculo.com
74% probable range
$0.3292 → $0.3314
74% probable range
$0.3254 → $0.3313
74% probable range
$0.3152 → $0.3271
Bands derived from log-normal volatility of the last 7-day hourly series. Real-world fat tails mean reported probabilities are conservative.
Tier-aware CAGR projection + Bitcoin halving cycle. Central targets reflect crypto's long-term appreciation; probability bands reflect honest uncertainty.
UMA central target · Aug 2031
$0.3265
74% probable range: $0.0603 → $1.77
10-year extended view · Aug 2036: $0.3313
Central
$0.3284
74% range
$0.1397
$0.7720
Central
$0.3272
74% range
$0.1061
$1.01
Central
$0.3265
74% range
$0.0845
$1.26
Central
$0.3265
74% range
$0.0603
$1.77
Central
$0.3313
74% range
$0.0436
$2.52
Central target = compound annual growth × halving cycle multiplier. Bands widen with sqrt(time) to model honest uncertainty. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
UMA • #490
$0.3314
Real-time data
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HOLD
UMA • 8/12/2026
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Relative Strength Index
Neutral
UMA • Momentum
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Moving Average Convergence
BEARISH
Sell signal
UMA • Trend
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UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
UMA
Current: $0.3314
cryptooraculo.com
Market metrics
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This content is informational.
Does not constitute financial advice.
Highly volatile crypto market.
DYOR
Do Your Own Research
Invest responsibly
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According to our algorithmic technical analysis, UMA shows a neutral trend. The current price is $0.3314 with a change of -1.65% in the last 24 hours.
Price predictions: For this week we expect a range between $0.3272 and $0.3277. For 2027, the price could reach between $0.2761 and $0.2873, with an estimated average of $0.2817.
The UMA forecasts on this page are not generated by a black-box AI. They combine three transparent statistical inputs: (1) a log-CAGR specific to the asset's market-cap tier, calibrated on prior bull and bear cycles; (2) a sinusoidal modulation centred on the April 2024 Bitcoin halving; and (3) a 30-day realised-volatility cone that widens the range as the time horizon extends.
Each price band you see on the predictions table is the median of the model's posterior distribution, while the min/max edges correspond to the 50th, 74th and 90th percentiles. This means roughly 9 out of 10 historical observations land inside the wide band — but past performance does not guarantee future returns, and a sufficiently disruptive event (regulation, exchange collapse, macro shock) can push price outside the band on either side.
Every assumption powering the UMA model — CAGR per tier, halving offset, volatility decay — is documented and citable. Verify the math yourself.
Price, market cap and 24h volume refresh from your browser every 60 seconds via CoinGecko/Binance public APIs. No stale numbers.
Need to know how much UMA costs in USD, EUR or ARS right now? Use our live converter — same data, same refresh cadence.
UMA can lose 50-90% of its value in bear cycles. Forecasts are probability bands, not guarantees. Always size positions conservatively.
CryptoOráculo is an educational analysis platform. We do not provide investment advice, custody funds or execute trades. Information presented is for research purposes only. DYOR.
About UMA
UMA (UMA) is a digital asset currently ranked #490 by market cap. As with any cryptocurrency, prospective participants should evaluate the project's whitepaper, on-chain activity, developer team and treasury health before exposure. The Oracle target ranges on this page combine a tier-specific CAGR model with the Bitcoin halving cycle adjustment.
Use case
UMA (UMA) is an actively traded cryptocurrency ranked #490 by market capitalization.
Recommended reading
Educational information: not financial advice. Do your own research (DYOR).
As of today, UMA (UMA) trades at $0.331396, with a 24-hour move of -1.65%. Our algorithmic Oracle combines technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands), the Bitcoin halving cycle and per-asset volatility beta to project price targets across 1 month, 12 months and 5 years. Below we walk through exactly why the Oracle reaches the figures shown above.
UMA (UMA) trades outside the top-200 (current rank #490), implying low capitalisation, thin liquidity and extreme moves in both directions. Its price action is mainly driven by overall market sentiment, BTC dominance flows and project-specific catalysts. Correlation with BTC typically ranges 0.6 to 0.85 over 30-day windows. Today the asset trades at $0.331396 with a 24-hour move of -1.65%, providing real-time context for the technical model below. Tokens in the same tier (top-500) tend to amplify Bitcoin movements by 1.2x to 3.5x on both sides — this is the empirical baseline our Oracle uses when projecting bull and bear scenarios.
If sentiment turns risk-on and BTC dominance compresses, UMA could test the 12-month target of $0.662793. The path of least resistance opens above the upper Bollinger band with volume confirmation.
In a risk-off rotation or fresh regulatory shock, UMA could revisit $0.215408 (Bollinger lower band / cycle support). Below that, drawdowns of 50-70% from recent highs are historically frequent across the asset class.
Risks for UMA: extreme volatility, illiquidity risk, possible delisting if volume collapses. Additional considerations: regulatory uncertainty in major jurisdictions (US SEC, EU MiCA, UK FCA), exchange concentration risk, smart contract risk if the asset is a token (audits do not eliminate exploits), and macroeconomic sensitivity to Federal Reserve policy. UMA is not appropriate for capital you cannot afford to lose; size positions according to your risk tolerance and use a long-term DCA strategy to smooth entry points.
The numerical targets above for UMA come from a deterministic algorithmic model: logarithmic CAGR with tier-aware decay, Bitcoin halving sine-wave cycle adjusted by per-asset beta (BTC=1.0, ETH=1.2, top50=1.55, longtail=2.0), initial momentum decay (tau=3 months), sqrt(t) volatility expansion and seeded noise so the same input always returns the same output. The model is fully reproducible from public CoinGecko data.
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